Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.480171 0.527302 0.578846 0.639725 0.710086 0.789364 0.886175
2025-10-05 0.414594 0.481511 0.560928 0.663604 0.795074 0.961006 1.191779
2025-10-12 0.375001 0.451914 0.548367 0.681268 0.864837 1.118034 1.510660
2025-10-19 0.341641 0.422963 0.529193 0.682878 0.908319 1.243041 1.814149
2025-10-26 0.310264 0.391886 0.501834 0.666981 0.921072 1.321880 2.064564
2025-11-02 0.284054 0.364626 0.475906 0.648344 0.924631 1.384196 2.302510
2025-11-09 0.263455 0.342998 0.455308 0.634271 0.931853 1.452167 2.571647
2025-11-16 0.246270 0.324632 0.437454 0.621799 0.938917 1.519982 2.863754
2025-11-23 0.231866 0.309091 0.422263 0.611499 0.947550 1.591619 3.192302
2025-11-30 0.224575 0.303359 0.421275 0.624006 0.998360 1.757695 3.832861
2025-12-07 0.214580 0.292811 0.411815 0.620915 1.019221 1.865489 4.374427
2025-12-14 0.205158 0.282492 0.401854 0.615753 1.035021 1.965592 4.954434
2025-12-21 0.192838 0.267314 0.383518 0.594871 1.018287 1.990587 5.322573
2025-12-28 0.189952 0.266724 0.389044 0.618057 1.097186 2.276536 6.923865
2026-01-04 0.185927 0.264007 0.390712 0.634118 1.163807 2.555581 8.873695
2026-01-11 0.179742 0.257397 0.385180 0.635578 1.197597 2.754542 10.747358
2026-01-18 0.171513 0.246984 0.372327 0.621211 1.191632 2.830759 12.038056
2026-01-25 0.163516 0.236569 0.358838 0.604350 1.177171 2.876388 13.235459
2026-02-01 0.156712 0.227828 0.347820 0.591604 1.171249 2.950691 14.848998
2026-02-08 0.150586 0.219950 0.337903 0.580299 1.167463 3.032947 16.780693
2026-02-15 0.145142 0.212987 0.329259 0.570956 1.167555 3.131329 19.218263
2026-02-22 0.142901 0.211359 0.330250 0.582300 1.225186 3.479420 26.143154
2026-03-01 0.138900 0.206519 0.324992 0.579497 1.243296 3.676219 32.313726